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Version 180

7 February 2020

This is Version 180 of the JCC Cargo Watchlist. It was last updated on 12 February 2020.


India (Eastern India: Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkand, Orissa): geography expanded to include central Indian province of Maharashtra due to Naxalites expanding their
 area of operations.




BURUNDI High 2.4 from High 2.5: Reflecting a reduced risk to aviation cargo at Bujumbura airport following the announcement of a CNDD-FDD presidential successor
 candidate, which decreases the likelihood of a coup attempt and fighting at the airport.

LEBANON Very High 3.5 from Very High 3.4: The US killing of Iran’s IRGC Quds Force commander Soleimani increases the likelihood of military confrontation between
 Hizbullah and Israel, increasing the risk to aviation at Beirut airport, marine ports and shipping, as well as ground transport infrastructure.

UAE High 2.6 from High 2.5: The US killing of Iran’s IRGC Quds Force commander Soleimani increases the likelihood of further military escalation in the Gulf,
 resulting in higher risks to aviation at Dubai and Abu Dhabi airports, and marine ports and shipping.


LocationRiskMarine - WarMarine - StrikesAir - War/StrikesAir - WarGround - War/StrikesPiracy:only for use with JC2011/017 GCWL Clause 2011Cargo Theft
Afghanistan(Severe) 4.6  YesYesYes  
Argentina(Elevated) 1.7YesYesYesYesYes  
Bangladesh(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Brazil(Elevated) 2.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Brazil ( BR-116 Highway Curitaba- Sao Paulo; SP-330 Highway Uberaba-Santos port; BR-116 Highway Rio de Janeiro-Sao Paulo, BR 050 Highway Brasilia-Santos).(Very high) 3.4      Yes
Burkina Faso(High) 2.6  YesYesYes  
Burundi(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Cameroon(High) 2.7YesYesYesYesYes  
Central African Republic(Very high) 4.0  YesYesYes  
Chad(High) 3.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Colombia(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Congo - Brazzaville (aka Republic of Congo)(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Congo - Kinshasa (aka DRC)(High) 3.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYesYes  
Egypt(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYesYes  
Eritrea(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Ethiopia(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Georgia(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Guinea(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Gulf of Aden sea area and to 65° E off the Somali coast, bound to the north by latitude 23°30 N, and bound to the south by 12°S and in the Red Sea by 14°N(High) 2.4     Yes 
Gulf of Guinea, in the sea area between 4°30'W 5°8'44.274"N and 3°6'13.966"W 2°20'12.8"N in the west, and 9°46'18.636"E 2°20'12.8"N (Cameroon-Equatorial Guinea border) in the east.(Very high) 3.4     Yes 
India(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
India (Eastern and Central India: Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkand, Orissa, Maharashtra)(Elevated) 2.1    Yes  
Indonesia(Elevated) 1.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Iran(High) 2.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Iraq(Very high) 3.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Israel(High) 2.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Italy(Elevated) 1.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Kenya(High) 2.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Lebanon(Very high) 3.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Libya(Severe) 5.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Malay Peninsula (Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.)(Low) .4     Yes 
Mali(Very high) 3.7  YesYesYes  
Mexico(High) 2.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Mexico (Estado de México-Puebla-Veracruz highway; Estado de México-Querétaro highway, highways in Tamaulipas, Michoacán and Guerrero states, railways in Guanajuato state.)(Very high) 3.9      Yes
Niger(High) 2.7  YesYesYes  
Nigeria(High) 3.1YesYesYesYesYes  
North Korea(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Occupied Palestinian Territory(Severe) 4.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Pakistan(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYesYes  
Persian or Arabian Gulf and adjacent waters including the Gulf of Oman west of Longitude 58°E(Very high) 3.4YesYes     
Peru(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Qatar(High) 2.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Russia(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Russia (Ground: within 200km of the land border with Ukraine. Marine: Black Sea coast within territorial waters.)(Elevated) 2.1YesYes  Yes  
Russia (North Caucasus Federal District, less Stavropol Territory)(Elevated) 2.1  YesYesYes  
Saudi Arabia(High) 3.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Somalia(Very high) 3.7YesYesYesYesYes  
South Korea(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
South Sudan(Very high) 3.7  YesYesYes  
Sudan(High) 2.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Syria(Severe) 4.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Turkey(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Ukraine(High) 2.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Ukraine (Ground: Donbass conflict zone; Marine: Black Sea coast and Sea of Azov within territorial waters)(High) 3.0YesYes  Yes  
United Arab Emirates(High) 2.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Venezuela(High) 2.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Yemen(Severe) 5.6YesYesYesYesYes  

‘Risk’ indicates overall country risk. Subsequent columns specify whether or not there is a particular risk to cargo assets in the category quoted.

What is the Risk Scale?

6.5 And AboveExtreme
4.4 to 6.4Severe
3.2 to 4.3Very high
2.4 to 3.1High
1.6 to 2.3Elevated
0.8 to 1.5Moderate
0 to 0.7Low

The risk scale ranges from 0 - 10. The scores enable the comparison of risk between location, providing a greater degree of precision than risk bands alone (e.g. Extreme). Each risk band has been colour coded to be consistent with the system used by IHS Country Risk

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