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Version 197

2 July 2021

This is Version 197 of the JCC Cargo Watchlist. It was last updated on 2 July 2021.


Added Mozambique to GCWL




Argentina Elevated 1.9 from Elevated 1.8: Increased risk of disruption to ground and marine cargo from more frequent industrial action affecting ports and protests
 involving roadblocks, in response to government’s pandemic measures. 

India Elevated 1.9 from Elevated 2.0: Reduced risk to aviation cargo from terrorist incidents or cross-border military confrontation with Pakistan, due to Covid-19
 related restrictions on the aviation sector. 

Iraq Very High 4.0 from Very High 3.9: Increased risk to aviation in northern Iraq, particularly shootdown risk for Turkish military helicopters by PKK militants.

Mexico High 2.7 from High 2.8: Reduced risk of ground cargo theft, as indicated by nationwide decline in such incidents on motorways since establishment of
 rapid-response police facilities.

Mexico (Estado de México-Puebla-Veracruz highway; Estado de México-Querétaro highway, highways in Tamaulipas, Michoacán and Guerrero states, railways in Guanajuato
 state) Very High 3.7 from Very High 3.6: Increased risk to rail cargo in Guanajuato, due to growing trend of intentional derailments and cargo theft by criminal

Nigeria Very High 3.4 from Very High 3.3: Increased risk of shootdown for aviation in the north-east, due to likely improved weapons supply for ISWAP and an
 increase in air attacks on Islamists.

Pakistan High 2.5 from High 2.4: Increased risk of terrorist attacks against marine ports as the TTP attempts to revive its operations in Pakistan.


LocationRiskMarine - WarMarine - StrikesAir - War/StrikesAir - WarGround - War/StrikesPiracy:only for use with JC2011/017 GCWL Clause 2011Cargo Theft
Afghanistan(Severe) 4.7  YesYesYes  
Argentina(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Bangladesh(Elevated) 2.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Brazil(Elevated) 2.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Brazil ( BR-116 Highway Curitaba- Sao Paulo; SP-330 Highway Uberaba-Santos port; BR-116 Highway Rio de Janeiro-Sao Paulo, BR 050 Highway Brasilia-Santos).(Very high) 3.3      Yes
Burkina Faso(High) 2.7  YesYesYes  
Burundi(Elevated) 2.3YesYesYesYesYes  
Cameroon(High) 2.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Central African Republic(Very high) 4.1  YesYesYes  
Chad(Very high) 3.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Colombia(High) 2.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Congo - Brazzaville (aka Republic of Congo)(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Congo - Kinshasa (aka DRC)(High) 2.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Egypt(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYesYes  
Eritrea(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Ethiopia(High) 2.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Georgia(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Guinea(Elevated) 2.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Gulf of Aden sea area and to 65° E off the Somali coast, bound to the north by latitude 23°30 N, and bound to the south by 12°S and in the Red Sea by 14°N(High) 2.4     Yes 
Gulf of Guinea, in the sea area between 4°30'W 5°8'44.274"N and 3°6'13.966"W 2°20'12.8"N in the west, and 9°46'18.636"E 2°20'12.8"N (Cameroon-Equatorial Guinea border) in the east.(Very high) 3.4     Yes 
India(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
India (Eastern and Central India: Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkand, Orissa, Maharashtra)(Elevated) 2.1    Yes  
Indonesia(Elevated) 1.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Iran(High) 2.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Iraq(Very high) 4.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Israel(High) 3.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Italy(Elevated) 1.7YesYesYesYesYes  
Kenya(High) 2.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Lebanon(Very high) 3.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Libya(Severe) 5.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Malay Peninsula (Cargo theft from oil tankers in the Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.)(Low) .4     Yes 
Malay Peninsula (Piracy in the Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.)(Elevated) 1.9     Yes 
Mali(Very high) 3.8  YesYesYes  
Mexico(High) 2.7YesYesYesYesYes  
Mexico (Estado de México-Puebla-Veracruz highway; Estado de México-Querétaro highway, highways in Tamaulipas, Michoacán and Guerrero states, railways in Guanajuato state.)(Very high) 3.7      Yes
Mozambique(High) 2.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Niger(High) 2.9  YesYesYes  
Nigeria(Very high) 3.4YesYesYesYesYes  
North Korea(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Occupied Palestinian Territory(Severe) 4.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Pakistan(High) 2.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Persian or Arabian Gulf and adjacent waters including the Gulf of Oman west of Longitude 58°E(Very high) 3.4YesYes     
Peru(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Qatar(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Russia(Elevated) 1.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Russia (Ground: within 200km of the land border with Ukraine. Marine: Black Sea coast within territorial waters.)(Elevated) 1.8YesYes  Yes  
Russia (North Caucasus Federal District, less Stavropol Territory)(Elevated) 1.8  YesYesYes  
Saudi Arabia(Very high) 3.2YesYesYesYesYes  
Somalia(Very high) 3.8YesYesYesYesYes  
South Korea(Elevated) 1.8YesYesYesYesYes  
South Sudan(High) 3.1  YesYesYes  
Sudan(Elevated) 2.3YesYesYesYesYes  
Syria(Severe) 4.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Turkey(Elevated) 2.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Ukraine(High) 2.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Ukraine (Ground: Donbass conflict zone; Marine: Black Sea coast and Sea of Azov within territorial waters)(High) 2.7YesYes  Yes  
United Arab Emirates(High) 2.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Venezuela(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Yemen(Severe) 5.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Yemen (Marine: Territorial Waters)(Severe) 6.0YesYes     

‘Risk’ indicates overall country risk. Subsequent columns specify whether or not there is a particular risk to cargo assets in the category quoted.

What is the Risk Scale?

6.5 And AboveExtreme
4.4 to 6.4Severe
3.2 to 4.3Very high
2.4 to 3.1High
1.6 to 2.3Elevated
0.8 to 1.5Moderate
0 to 0.7Low

The risk scale ranges from 0 - 10. The scores enable the comparison of risk between location, providing a greater degree of precision than risk bands alone (e.g. Extreme). Each risk band has been colour coded to be consistent with the system used by IHS Country Risk

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