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Version 212

5 August 2022

This is Version 212 of the JCC Cargo Watchlist. It was last updated on 5 August 2022.

LOCATION CHANGES

None

RISK LEVEL CHANGES

None

RISK SCORE CHANGES

Afghanistan Very High 4.1 from Very High 4.3: Reduced risk to aviation indicated by lack of any NSAG attacks against airports in Afghanistan since the Taliban took
 control of the country.

Bangladesh Elevated 2.0 from Elevated 2.1: Reduced risk to aviation as COVID-19 related protests at airports have subsided. 

Democratic Republic of the Congo High 2.9 from High 2.8: Increased risk to ground cargo and aviation as the escalating M23 insurgency in North Kivu increases the
 likelihood of an armed incursion into the city of Goma.

Guinea Elevated 2.1 from Elevated 2.0: Increased risk to aviation, marine and ground cargo from likely major renewed political protests causing disruption at main
 ports, especially the Kaloum port in Conakry, and Conakry airport which is adjacent to the route for probable marches.

Israel High 2.9 from High 3.0: Reduced risk to ground cargo as Israel-Hamas border incidents have largely declined since Operation Guardian of the Walls in May
 2021.

North Korea Elevated 2.0 from Elevated 1.9: Increased risk of arbitrary seizure of ground cargo and border restrictions due to measures introduced to tackle an
 outbreak of COVID-19.

Syria Severe 4.8 from Severe 4.7: Increased risk to aviation at Damascus International Airport as Israeli airstrike targeting runway and terminal indicate renewed
 Iranian use of the airport to supply advanced weapons to Hizbullah.


Versions: 

LocationRiskMarine - WarMarine - StrikesAir - War/StrikesAir - WarGround - War/StrikesPiracy:only for use with JC2011/017 GCWL Clause 2011Cargo Theft
Afghanistan(Very high) 4.1  YesYesYes  
Argentina(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Bangladesh(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Brazil(Elevated) 2.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Brazil ( BR-116 Highway Curitaba- Sao Paulo; SP-330 Highway Uberaba-Santos port; BR-116 Highway Rio de Janeiro-Sao Paulo, BR 050 Highway Brasilia-Santos).(Very high) 3.3      Yes
Burkina Faso(High) 2.8  YesYesYes  
Burundi(Elevated) 2.3YesYesYesYesYes  
Cameroon(High) 2.7YesYesYesYesYes  
Central African Republic(Very high) 4.1  YesYesYes  
Chad(Very high) 3.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Colombia(High) 2.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Congo - Brazzaville (aka Republic of Congo)(Elevated) 1.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Congo - Kinshasa (aka DRC)(High) 2.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Egypt(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Eritrea(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYesYes  
Ethiopia(Very high) 3.3YesYesYesYesYes  
Georgia(Elevated) 1.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Guinea(Elevated) 2.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Gulf of Aden sea area and to 65° E off the Somali coast, bound to the north by latitude 23°30 N, and bound to the south by 12°S and in the Red Sea by 14°N(Elevated) 2.0     Yes 
Gulf of Guinea, in the sea area between 4°30'W 5°8'44.274"N and 3°6'13.966"W 2°20'12.8"N in the west, and 9°46'18.636"E 2°20'12.8"N (Cameroon-Equatorial Guinea border) in the east.(High) 3.1     Yes 
India(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
India (Eastern and Central India: Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkand, Orissa, Maharashtra)(Elevated) 2.1    Yes  
Indonesia(Elevated) 1.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Iran(High) 2.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Iraq(Very high) 4.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Israel(High) 2.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Italy(Elevated) 1.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Kenya(High) 2.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Lebanon(Very high) 3.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Libya(Severe) 4.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Malay Peninsula (Cargo theft from oil tankers in the Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.)(Low) .4     Yes 
Malay Peninsula (Piracy in the Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.)(Elevated) 1.9     Yes 
Mali(Very high) 4.1  YesYesYes  
Mexico(High) 2.7YesYesYesYesYes  
Mexico (Estado de México-Puebla-Veracruz highway; Estado de México-Querétaro highway, highways in Tamaulipas, Michoacán and Guerrero states, railways in Guanajuato state.)(Very high) 3.8      Yes
Mozambique(High) 2.7YesYesYesYesYes  
Niger(High) 3.1  YesYesYes  
Nigeria(Very high) 3.3YesYesYesYesYes  
North Korea(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Occupied Palestinian Territory(Severe) 4.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Pakistan(High) 2.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Persian or Arabian Gulf and adjacent waters including the Gulf of Oman west of Longitude 58°E(Very high) 3.5YesYes     
Peru(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Qatar(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Russia(Elevated) 2.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Russia (Ground: within 200km of the land border with Ukraine. Marine: Black Sea coast and Sea of Azov within territorial waters.)(Very high) 3.2YesYes  Yes  
Russia (North Caucasus Federal District, less Stavropol Territory)(Elevated) 1.8  YesYesYes  
Saudi Arabia(High) 3.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Somalia(Very high) 3.7YesYesYesYesYes  
South Korea(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
South Sudan(Very high) 3.2  YesYesYes  
Sudan(High) 2.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Syria(Severe) 4.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Turkey(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYesYes  
Ukraine(Extreme) 6.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Ukraine (Ground: Donbass conflict zone; Marine: Black Sea coast and Sea of Azov within territorial waters)(Extreme) 6.6YesYes  Yes  
United Arab Emirates(High) 2.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Venezuela(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYesYes  
Yemen(Severe) 5.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Yemen (Marine: Territorial Waters)(Severe) 5.5YesYes     

‘Risk’ indicates overall country risk. Subsequent columns specify whether or not there is a particular risk to cargo assets in the category quoted.

What is the Risk Scale?

6.5 And AboveExtreme
4.4 to 6.4Severe
3.2 to 4.3Very high
2.4 to 3.1High
1.6 to 2.3Elevated
0.8 to 1.5Moderate
0 to 0.7Low

The risk scale ranges from 0 - 10. The scores enable the comparison of risk between location, providing a greater degree of precision than risk bands alone (e.g. Extreme). Each risk band has been colour coded to be consistent with the system used by IHS Country Risk


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