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Version 213

2 September 2022

This is Version 213 of the JCC Cargo Watchlist. It was last updated on 2 September 2022.




Iraq Severe 4.4 from Very High 4.0: Increasing risks of cargo disruption, theft, and damage in line with growing risk of civil war between rival militias in
 southern Iraq.


Libya Severe 4.6 from Severe 4.9: Reduced risk to marine cargo due to political rapprochement between the GNA and LNA and their international backers. 

Mexico High 2.8 from High 2.7: Increased risk of equipment theft from offshore oil platforms and supplier vessels in the Bay of Campeche due to increasingly
 sophisticated criminal operations.

Mozambique High 2.8 from High 2.7: Increased risk to marine cargo off Cabo Delgado due to lack of effective maritime security following the withdrawal of the South
 African frigate SAS Spioenkop in May 2022.

Nigeria Very High 3.4 from Very High 3.3: Increased risk to aviation as attacks by Islamist militants near Abuja International Airport increase risk of a direct
 attack on the facility.


LocationRiskMarine - WarMarine - StrikesAir - War/StrikesAir - WarGround - War/StrikesPiracy:only for use with JC2011/017 GCWL Clause 2011Cargo Theft
Afghanistan(Very high) 4.1  YesYesYes  
Argentina(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Bangladesh(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Brazil(Elevated) 2.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Brazil ( BR-116 Highway Curitaba- Sao Paulo; SP-330 Highway Uberaba-Santos port; BR-116 Highway Rio de Janeiro-Sao Paulo, BR 050 Highway Brasilia-Santos).(Very high) 3.3      Yes
Burkina Faso(High) 2.8  YesYesYes  
Burundi(Elevated) 2.3YesYesYesYesYes  
Cameroon(High) 2.7YesYesYesYesYes  
Central African Republic(Very high) 4.1  YesYesYes  
Chad(Very high) 3.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Colombia(High) 2.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Congo - Brazzaville (aka Republic of Congo)(Elevated) 1.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Congo - Kinshasa (aka DRC)(High) 2.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Egypt(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Eritrea(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYesYes  
Ethiopia(Very high) 3.3YesYesYesYesYes  
Georgia(Elevated) 1.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Guinea(Elevated) 2.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Gulf of Aden sea area and to 65° E off the Somali coast, bound to the north by latitude 23°30 N, and bound to the south by 12°S and in the Red Sea by 14°N(Elevated) 2.0     Yes 
Gulf of Guinea, in the sea area between 4°30'W 5°8'44.274"N and 3°6'13.966"W 2°20'12.8"N in the west, and 9°46'18.636"E 2°20'12.8"N (Cameroon-Equatorial Guinea border) in the east.(High) 3.1     Yes 
India(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
India (Eastern and Central India: Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkand, Orissa, Maharashtra)(Elevated) 2.1    Yes  
Indonesia(Elevated) 1.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Iran(High) 2.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Iraq(Severe) 4.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Israel(High) 2.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Italy(Elevated) 1.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Kenya(High) 2.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Lebanon(Very high) 3.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Libya(Severe) 4.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Malay Peninsula (Cargo theft from oil tankers in the Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.)(Low) .4     Yes 
Malay Peninsula (Piracy in the Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.)(Elevated) 1.9     Yes 
Mali(Very high) 4.1  YesYesYes  
Mexico(High) 2.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Mexico (Estado de México-Puebla-Veracruz highway; Estado de México-Querétaro highway, highways in Tamaulipas, Michoacán and Guerrero states, railways in Guanajuato state.)(Very high) 3.8      Yes
Mozambique(High) 2.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Niger(High) 3.1  YesYesYes  
Nigeria(Very high) 3.4YesYesYesYesYes  
North Korea(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Occupied Palestinian Territory(Severe) 4.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Pakistan(High) 2.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Persian or Arabian Gulf and adjacent waters including the Gulf of Oman west of Longitude 58°E(Very high) 3.5YesYes     
Peru(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Qatar(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Russia(Elevated) 2.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Russia (Ground: within 200km of the land border with Ukraine. Marine: Black Sea coast and Sea of Azov within territorial waters.)(Very high) 3.2YesYes  Yes  
Russia (North Caucasus Federal District, less Stavropol Territory)(Elevated) 1.8  YesYesYes  
Saudi Arabia(High) 3.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Somalia(Very high) 3.7YesYesYesYesYes  
South Korea(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
South Sudan(Very high) 3.2  YesYesYes  
Sudan(High) 2.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Syria(Severe) 4.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Turkey(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYesYes  
Ukraine(Extreme) 6.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Ukraine (Ground: Donbass conflict zone; Marine: Black Sea coast and Sea of Azov within territorial waters)(Extreme) 6.6YesYes  Yes  
United Arab Emirates(High) 2.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Venezuela(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYesYes  
Yemen(Severe) 5.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Yemen (Marine: Territorial Waters)(Severe) 5.5YesYes     

‘Risk’ indicates overall country risk. Subsequent columns specify whether or not there is a particular risk to cargo assets in the category quoted.

What is the Risk Scale?

6.5 And AboveExtreme
4.4 to 6.4Severe
3.2 to 4.3Very high
2.4 to 3.1High
1.6 to 2.3Elevated
0.8 to 1.5Moderate
0 to 0.7Low

The risk scale ranges from 0 - 10. The scores enable the comparison of risk between location, providing a greater degree of precision than risk bands alone (e.g. Extreme). Each risk band has been colour coded to be consistent with the system used by IHS Country Risk

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