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Version 182

3 April 2020

This is Version 182 of the JCC Cargo Watchlist. It was last updated on 3 April 2020.

LOCATION CHANGES

None

RISK LEVEL CHANGES

NIGERIA Very High 3.2 from High 3.1: Reflecting an increase in risks to aviation cargo due to reports of individuals gaining access to runways at key airports,
 highlighting the risk of exploitation of security lapses by terrorist groups. Additionally, the likely presence of well-resourced pirate gangs using motherships in
 the Gulf of Guinea raises risks of boarding for vessels using Nigerian ports.

RISK SCORE CHANGES

BRAZIL (BR-116 Highway Curitaba- Sao Paulo; SP-330 Highway Uberaba-Santos port; BR-116 Highway Rio de Janeiro-Sao Paulo, BR 050 Highway Brasilia-Santos) Very High
 3.3 from Very High 3.4: Reflecting a gradual reduction in the number of cargo theft incidents over the past 12 months due to increased police patrols and better
 intelligence; government lockdowns in response to Covid-19 in several states are also likely to lead to a reduction in criminal gang activity.

CAMEROON High 2.8 from High 2.7: Reflecting an increased risk to aviation from small arms fire targeting aircraft during take-off and landing at airports in the
 southwest and northwest of the country, after a state-owned civilian passenger aircraft was fired at on approach to Bamenda airport in December 2019.

CONGO - BRAZZAVILLE Elevated 1.9 from Elevated 2.0: Reflecting a reduced risk to road and rail cargo in the Pool region, following a reduction in militia activity
 in recent months.

CONGO - KINSHASA (aka DRC) High 2.9 from High 2.8: Reflecting an increased risk of attacks against ground cargo in the Katanga region, and aviation at Lubumbashi
 airport, following the escape of the former Bakata Katanga militia leader amid coordinated raids.

LIBYA Severe 5.6 from Severe 5.5: Reflecting an increased risk to marine cargo in the Tripolitania region, following the LNA’s attack on Tripoli port, and Turkey’s
 use of Mitiga port making it a more likely target for future attacks.

NORTH KOREA Elevated 1.8 from Elevated 1.9: Reflecting a reduction in risks to aviation from military accidents or escalation due to the postponement of the annual
 joint US-South Korea military exercises.

RUSSIA (Ground: within 200km of the land border with Ukraine. Marine: Black Sea coast within territorial waters.) Elevated 1.8 from Elevated 2.1: Reflecting a
 significant reduction in the intensity of fighting as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic, which is likely to last for at least 3-6 months. 

RUSSIA (North Caucasus Federal District, less Stavropol Territory) Elevated 1.8 from Elevated 2.1: Reflecting a gradual reduction in terrorism over the last few
 months, combined with likely restrictions on movement due to the Covid-19 pandemic, which are likely to last at least 3-6 months.

SOUTH KOREA Elevated 1.8 from Elevated 1.9: Reflecting a reduction in risks to aviation from military accidents or escalation due to the postponement of the annual
 joint US-South Korea military exercises.

SOUTH SUDAN Very High 3.4 from Very High 3.7: Reflecting a reduced risk to ground cargo, following the formation of a unity government and a ceasefire between the
 government and other militant groups. 

SUDAN High 2.4 from High 2.5: Reflecting a reduced risk to aviation because peace negotiations between the government and armed groups reduce the likelihood of
 militant attacks against airports. (The risk for ground cargo remains largely unaffected because of higher risk of cargo theft as a result of increasing price of
 food and other goods due to the Covid-19 pandemic). 

UKRAINE (Ground: Donbass conflict zone; Marine: Black Sea coast and Sea of Azov within territorial waters) High 2.7 from High 3.0: Reflecting a significant
 reduction in the intensity of fighting as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic, which is likely to last for at least 3-6 months.

YEMEN Severe 5.5 from Severe 5.6: Reflecting a decrease in risks to ground cargo in Houthi-controlled territory, due to a reduced frequency of Saudi-led coalition
 airstrikes in recent months.