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Version 188

2 October 2020

This is Version 188 of the JCC Cargo Watchlist. It was last updated on 2 October 2020.

LOCATION CHANGES

None

RISK LEVEL CHANGES

GUINEA Elevated 2.3 from High 2.4: Reduced risk to aviation, ground and marine cargo across the country after the 18 October presidential election, as the
 frequency of political demonstrations and road blockades affecting transport infrastructure are likely to fall significantly.

RISK SCORE CHANGES

AFGHANISTAN Severe 4.5 from Severe 4.4: Increased risk to low flying civilian and Afghan military helicopters as a result of Iranian support for the Taliban,
 probably including man-portable air-defence systems.

TURKEY Elevated 2.2 from Elevated 2.0: Increased risk of disruption to marine cargo in the Eastern Mediterranean from collisions or exchanges of warning shots
 between Turkish and Greek naval vessels in disputed sea areas. Risk of damage to commercial vessels remains low. 

VENEZUELA High 2.4 from High 2.5: Reduced risk to aviation cargo due to absence of any significant incidents of malicious property damage or expropriation in the
 last year.


Versions: 

LocationRiskMarine - WarMarine - StrikesAir - War/StrikesAir - WarGround - War/StrikesPiracy:only for use with JC2011/017 GCWL Clause 2011Cargo Theft
Afghanistan(Severe) 4.5  YesYesYes  
Argentina(Elevated) 1.7YesYesYesYesYes  
Bangladesh(Elevated) 2.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Brazil(Elevated) 2.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Brazil ( BR-116 Highway Curitaba- Sao Paulo; SP-330 Highway Uberaba-Santos port; BR-116 Highway Rio de Janeiro-Sao Paulo, BR 050 Highway Brasilia-Santos).(Very high) 3.3      Yes
Burkina Faso(High) 2.7  YesYesYes  
Burundi(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Cameroon(High) 2.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Central African Republic(Very high) 4.0  YesYesYes  
Chad(High) 3.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Colombia(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Congo - Brazzaville (aka Republic of Congo)(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Congo - Kinshasa (aka DRC)(High) 2.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYesYes  
Egypt(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYesYes  
Eritrea(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Ethiopia(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Georgia(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Guinea(Elevated) 2.3YesYesYesYesYes  
Gulf of Aden sea area and to 65° E off the Somali coast, bound to the north by latitude 23°30 N, and bound to the south by 12°S and in the Red Sea by 14°N(High) 2.4     Yes 
Gulf of Guinea, in the sea area between 4°30'W 5°8'44.274"N and 3°6'13.966"W 2°20'12.8"N in the west, and 9°46'18.636"E 2°20'12.8"N (Cameroon-Equatorial Guinea border) in the east.(Very high) 3.4     Yes 
India(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
India (Eastern and Central India: Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkand, Orissa, Maharashtra)(Elevated) 2.1    Yes  
Indonesia(Elevated) 1.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Iran(High) 2.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Iraq(Very high) 3.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Israel(High) 3.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Italy(Elevated) 1.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Kenya(High) 2.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Lebanon(Very high) 3.7YesYesYesYesYes  
Libya(Severe) 5.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Malay Peninsula (Cargo theft from oil tankers in the Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.)(Low) .4     Yes 
Malay Peninsula (Piracy in the Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.)(Elevated) 1.9     Yes 
Mali(Very high) 3.8  YesYesYes  
Mexico(High) 2.7YesYesYesYesYes  
Mexico (Estado de México-Puebla-Veracruz highway; Estado de México-Querétaro highway, highways in Tamaulipas, Michoacán and Guerrero states, railways in Guanajuato state.)(Very high) 3.9      Yes
Niger(High) 2.9  YesYesYes  
Nigeria(Very high) 3.3YesYesYesYesYes  
North Korea(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Occupied Palestinian Territory(Severe) 4.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Pakistan(Elevated) 2.3YesYesYesYesYes  
Persian or Arabian Gulf and adjacent waters including the Gulf of Oman west of Longitude 58°E(Very high) 3.7YesYes     
Peru(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Qatar(High) 2.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Russia(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Russia (Ground: within 200km of the land border with Ukraine. Marine: Black Sea coast within territorial waters.)(Elevated) 1.7YesYes  Yes  
Russia (North Caucasus Federal District, less Stavropol Territory)(Elevated) 1.8  YesYesYes  
Saudi Arabia(High) 3.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Somalia(Very high) 3.7YesYesYesYesYes  
South Korea(Elevated) 1.8YesYesYesYesYes  
South Sudan(Very high) 3.4  YesYesYes  
Sudan(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Syria(Severe) 4.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Turkey(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYesYes  
Ukraine(High) 2.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Ukraine (Ground: Donbass conflict zone; Marine: Black Sea coast and Sea of Azov within territorial waters)(High) 2.6YesYes  Yes  
United Arab Emirates(High) 2.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Venezuela(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Yemen(Severe) 5.4YesYesYesYesYes  

‘Risk’ indicates overall country risk. Subsequent columns specify whether or not there is a particular risk to cargo assets in the category quoted.

What is the Risk Scale?

6.5 And AboveExtreme
4.4 to 6.4Severe
3.2 to 4.3Very high
2.4 to 3.1High
1.6 to 2.3Elevated
0.8 to 1.5Moderate
0 to 0.7Low

The risk scale ranges from 0 - 10. The scores enable the comparison of risk between location, providing a greater degree of precision than risk bands alone (e.g. Extreme). Each risk band has been colour coded to be consistent with the system used by IHS Country Risk


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