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Version 163

2 August 2019

This is Version 163 of the Marine Watch List. It was last updated on 2 August 2019.

Location Description Changes:

Add: 

Qatar

Delete:  Ukraine: Black Sea coast within territorial waters.
Insert:  Ukraine 


Additions/Removals:

Additions annotated with default perils


Risk Level Changes:

None

Risk Score Changes: 

Nigeria Very high 3.2 from Very high 3.4  Only one successful kidnapping in territorial waters in the first half of 2019, and multiple failures, indicate improved
 surveillance off the Niger Delta, slightly reducing marine risk.
Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman High 3.1 from High 3.0: Iranian seizure of UK-flagged tanker, and UK decision to require UK shipping to be escorted by Royal Navy,
 indicate increased risk of Iranian disruption of marine cargo.
Qatar High 2.4: Confrontation in Persian Gulf between Iran and US increases likelihood of disruption to shipping in Qatari territorial waters. 
Ukraine: High 3.0


Versions: 

LocationRiskWarSeizure & ConfiscationDerelict WeaponsStrikesTerrorism
Algeria(Elevated) 1.7Yes Yes Yes
Argentina(Moderate) 1.5  Yes  
Azerbaijan(Moderate) 1.1  Yes  
Bangladesh(Moderate) 1.4 Yes Yes 
Congo - Kinshasa (aka DRC)(Elevated) 1.9Yes  YesYes
Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)(Elevated) 2.2Yes  YesYes
Egypt(Elevated) 2.2Yes  YesYes
Equatorial Guinea(Elevated) 2.3YesYes  Yes
Eritrea(Elevated) 2.1Yes    
Georgia(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYes Yes
Guinea(Elevated) 2.2   Yes 
Gulf of Aden sea area and to 65° E off the Somali coast, bound to the north by latitude 23°30 N, and bound to the south by 12°S and in the Red Sea by 14°N(Elevated) 2.2    Yes
Gulf of Guinea, in the sea area between 4°30'W 5°8'44.274"N and 3°6'13.966"W 2°20'12.8"N in the west, and 9°46'18.636"E 2°20'12.8"N (Cameroon-Equatorial Guinea border) in the east.(Very high) 3.3    Yes
Indonesia(Elevated) 1.7YesYes Yes 
Iran(High) 3.0YesYesYes  
Iraq(Elevated) 2.3Yes YesYesYes
Israel and the PA(High) 3.0Yes    
Jordan(Elevated) 1.8Yes   Yes
Lebanon(Very high) 3.3YesYesYesYesYes
Libya(Severe) 5.0YesYes   
Malay Peninsula (Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.)(Low) .4    Yes
Nigeria(Very high) 3.2YesYesYesYesYes
North Korea(High) 2.4YesYesYes  
Pakistan(Moderate) 1.5YesYes YesYes
Persian or Arabian Gulf and adjacent waters including the Gulf of Oman west of Longitude 58°E(High) 3.1YesYesYesYesYes
Peru(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes
Philippines(High) 2.6YesYesYesYesYes
Qatar(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes
Russia: Black Sea coast within territorial waters(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYes 
Saudi Arabia(High) 2.9YesYesYesYesYes
Somalia(High) 3.0YesYesYesYesYes
South Korea(Elevated) 2.1YesYesYesYesYes
Syria(High) 3.1YesYesYesYes 
Ukraine(High) 3.0YesYesYesYesYes
United Arab Emirates(High) 2.8YesYesYesYesYes
Venezuela(Elevated) 2.3YesYes YesYes
Yemen(Severe) 6.1Yes YesYesYes

‘Risk’ indicates overall country risk. Subsequent columns specify whether or not there is a particular risk to cargo assets in the category quoted.

What is the Risk Scale?

6.5 And AboveExtreme
4.4 to 6.4Severe
3.2 to 4.3Very high
2.4 to 3.1High
1.6 to 2.3Elevated
0.8 to 1.5Moderate
0 to 0.7Low

The risk scale ranges from 0 - 10. The scores enable the comparison of risk between location, providing a greater degree of precision than risk bands alone (e.g. Extreme). Each risk band has been colour coded to be consistent with the system used by IHS Country Risk


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